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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stockport County v Barnsley: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Edgeley Park
3–1
FT
Stockport County 68%Draw 21%Barnsley 11% Expected goals 2.23 – 0.84
68%
Betarazi pick

Stockport County to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultStockport County to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Stockport County vs Barnsley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Stockport County v Barnsley in the League One, played at Edgeley Park. In the table, Stockport County are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 14 matches; Barnsley are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Stockport County, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Shrewsbury, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Barnsley, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Fleetwood Town, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stockport County, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Barnsley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stockport County 2.2 xG, Barnsley 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stockport County 68%, draw 21%, Barnsley 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stockport County to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockport County 2–0 Barnsley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stockport County68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @4.80
Barnsley11%fair 8.88 · @5.50
3.07Expected goals
2.23Stockport County xG
0.84Barnsley xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Stockport County 2.2 – 0.8 Barnsley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStockport County to win ✓68%1.481.40
Double chanceStockport County or draw ✓89%1.131.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.53
Draw no betStockport County (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapStockport County -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
First team to scoreStockport County to score first ✗69%1.44–
Half-time resultStockport County ahead at half-time ✗50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stockport County / FT Stockport County ✗46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Stockport County – last 6

WWDLWL
6 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–0W
26 Sepvs Peterborough1–0W
19 Sep@ Sheffield Wednesday0–0D
12 Sepvs Leicester3–4L
5 Sep@ Wigan4–0W
2 Sep@ Luton0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Barnsley – last 6

LLDDLL
6 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–4L
22 Sepvs Leeds United U213–4L
19 Sepvs Leicester1–1D
15 Sep@ Peterborough3–3D
12 Sep@ Plymouth0–3L
5 Sepvs Stevenage1–5L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stockport County and Barnsley.

Stockport County vs Barnsley head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Our pick is Stockport County to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Stockport County vs Barnsley?

On our numbers Stockport County have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barnsley 11%.

How many goals will there be in Stockport County vs Barnsley?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Our predicted score is Stockport County 2–0 Barnsley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Stockport County vs Barnsley (League One) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgeley Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.