Ballinamallard United 37%Draw 21%Ards 42%Expected goals 1.42 – 1.52
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultArds to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Ballinamallard United vs Ards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ards travel to face Ballinamallard United on Saturday 3 October in the Championship – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ballinamallard United are 7th, upper half, on 21 points after 15 matches; Ards are 11th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Ballinamallard United, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Newington Youth, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Ards, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Strabane Athletic, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ballinamallard United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Ards.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ballinamallard United 1.4 xG, Ards 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ballinamallard United 37%, draw 21%, Ards 42%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ballinamallard United 1–1 Ards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ballinamallard United37%fair 2.69 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Ards42%fair 2.40 · @2.30
2.94Expected goals
1.42Ballinamallard United xG
1.52Ards xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ballinamallard United 1.4 – 1.5 Ards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ards to win✗
42%
2.40
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Ards (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Ballinamallard United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
First team to score
Ards to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ards / FT Ards✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Ballinamallard United – last 6
LWDWLW
26 Sep
@ Newington Youth
0–4
L
19 Sep
@ H&W Welders
3–1
W
12 Sep
vs Glenavon FC
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Loughgall
6–1
W
29 Aug
vs Annagh United
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Dundela
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ards – last 6
LDWLLL
26 Sep
vs Strabane Athletic
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Moyola Park
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Rathfriland
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Annagh United
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Queen's University
0–3
L
22 Aug
vs Loughgall
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ballinamallard United and Ards.
What is the prediction for Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
On our numbers Ballinamallard United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ards 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Our predicted score is Ballinamallard United 1–1 Ards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ballinamallard United vs Ards?
Ballinamallard United vs Ards (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
