Institute 21%Draw 20%Newington Youth 59%Expected goals 1.21 – 2.17
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Newington Youth to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNewington Youth to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.31
Institute vs Newington Youth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Institute v Newington Youth in the Championship. In the table, Institute are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Newington Youth are 3rd (among the top four) with 29.
Current form
Institute, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Annagh United, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Newington Youth, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ballinamallard United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Newington Youth, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Institute.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Institute 1.2 xG, Newington Youth 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Institute 21%, draw 20%, Newington Youth 59%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Newington Youth to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Institute 1–2 Newington Youth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Institute21%fair 4.81 · @3.25
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Newington Youth59%fair 1.68 · @1.90
3.38Expected goals
1.21Institute xG
2.17Newington Youth xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Institute 1.2 – 2.2 Newington Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newington Youth to win✗
59%
1.68
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Draw no bet
Newington Youth (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Institute +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Newington Youth to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Newington Youth ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newington Youth / FT Newington Youth✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.31
–
Recent results
Institute – last 6
LWWWLL
26 Sep
@ Annagh United
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Warrenpoint Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Armagh City
5–3
W
5 Sep
@ Rathfriland
2–0
W
29 Aug
vs Newry City AFC
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Queen's University
1–4
L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newington Youth – last 6
WLDWWW
26 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
4–0
W
19 Sep
@ Glenavon FC
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Dundela
5–5
D
5 Sep
@ Warrenpoint Town
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Strabane Athletic
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Rathfriland
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Institute and Newington Youth.
What is the prediction for Institute vs Newington Youth?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Institute vs Newington Youth?
On our numbers Institute have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Newington Youth 59%.
How many goals will there be in Institute vs Newington Youth?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Institute vs Newington Youth?
Our predicted score is Institute 1–2 Newington Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Institute vs Newington Youth?
Institute vs Newington Youth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
