Loughgall 41%Draw 21%Newry City AFC 38%Expected goals 1.62 – 1.54
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLoughgall to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.66
Loughgall vs Newry City AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Championship brings Loughgall against Newry City AFC at Lakeview Park. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Loughgall are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Newry City AFC are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Loughgall, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Glenavon FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Newry City AFC, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over H&W Welders, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newry City AFC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Loughgall.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Loughgall 1.6 xG, Newry City AFC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Loughgall 41%, draw 21%, Newry City AFC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Loughgall 1–1 Newry City AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Loughgall41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Newry City AFC38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
3.16Expected goals
1.62Loughgall xG
1.54Newry City AFC xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Loughgall 1.6 – 1.5 Newry City AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Loughgall to win✓
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Draw no bet
Loughgall (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Newry City AFC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
First team to score
Loughgall to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Loughgall / FT Loughgall✓
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Loughgall – last 6
LDLLDW
25 Sep
@ Glenavon FC
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Armagh City
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Queen's University
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Ballinamallard United
1–6
L
28 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
3–3
D
22 Aug
@ Ards
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newry City AFC – last 6
WDDDWL
25 Sep
vs H&W Welders
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Annagh United
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Strabane Athletic
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Armagh City
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Institute
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Warrenpoint Town
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Loughgall and Newry City AFC.
What is the prediction for Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
On our numbers Loughgall have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newry City AFC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
Our predicted score is Loughgall 1–1 Newry City AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Loughgall vs Newry City AFC?
Loughgall vs Newry City AFC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lakeview Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
