Moyola Park 14%Draw 21%Glenavon FC 65%Expected goals 1.02 – 2.32
65%
Betarazi pick
Glenavon FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultGlenavon FC to win ✓65% · @1.42
Double chanceGlenavon FC or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Moyola Park v Glenavon FC in the Championship. In the table, Moyola Park are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Glenavon FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Moyola Park, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen's University, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Glenavon FC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Loughgall, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Glenavon FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Moyola Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moyola Park 1.0 xG, Glenavon FC 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moyola Park 14%, draw 21%, Glenavon FC 65%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Glenavon FC to win (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moyola Park14%fair 7.18 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.33
Glenavon FC65%fair 1.53 · @1.42
3.33Expected goals
1.02Moyola Park xG
2.32Glenavon FC xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–210%
1–18%
0–18%
1–38%
0–37%
From our goals model: Moyola Park 1.0 – 2.3 Glenavon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Glenavon FC to win✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Double chance
Glenavon FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Glenavon FC (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Glenavon FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Glenavon FC to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Glenavon FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Glenavon FC / FT Glenavon FC✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Moyola Park – last 6
WDLLWL
26 Sep
@ Queen's University
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ards
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Warrenpoint Town
2–6
L
5 Sep
vs H&W Welders
1–4
L
28 Aug
vs Armagh City
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Annagh United
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Glenavon FC – last 6
WWDLWD
25 Sep
vs Loughgall
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Newington Youth
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Ballinamallard United
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Dundela
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Rathfriland
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Armagh City
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moyola Park and Glenavon FC.
What is the prediction for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Our pick is Glenavon FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
On our numbers Moyola Park have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Glenavon FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Our predicted score is Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?
Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.