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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Moyola Park v Glenavon FC: numbers & prediction

Championship · Northern-Ireland
0–3
FT
Moyola Park 14%Draw 21%Glenavon FC 65% Expected goals 1.02 – 2.32
65%
Betarazi pick

Glenavon FC to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultGlenavon FC to win ✓65% · @1.42
Double chanceGlenavon FC or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Moyola Park v Glenavon FC in the Championship. In the table, Moyola Park are 13th, lower half, on 15 points after 14 matches; Glenavon FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Moyola Park, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Queen's University, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Glenavon FC, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Loughgall, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Glenavon FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Moyola Park.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Moyola Park 1.0 xG, Glenavon FC 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Moyola Park 14%, draw 21%, Glenavon FC 65%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Glenavon FC to win (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Moyola Park14%fair 7.18 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.33
Glenavon FC65%fair 1.53 · @1.42
3.33Expected goals
1.02Moyola Park xG
2.32Glenavon FC xG
59%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–18%
0–18%
1–38%
0–37%

From our goals model: Moyola Park 1.0 – 2.3 Glenavon FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlenavon FC to win ✓65%1.531.42
Double chanceGlenavon FC or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.67
Draw no betGlenavon FC (draw no bet) ✓82%1.21–
Asian handicapGlenavon FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.741.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
First team to scoreGlenavon FC to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultGlenavon FC ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glenavon FC / FT Glenavon FC ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Moyola Park – last 6

WDLLWL
26 Sep@ Queen's University1–0W
19 Sepvs Ards0–0D
12 Sep@ Warrenpoint Town2–6L
5 Sepvs H&W Welders1–4L
28 Augvs Armagh City1–0W
22 Aug@ Annagh United0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Glenavon FC – last 6

WWDLWD
25 Sepvs Loughgall4–1W
19 Sepvs Newington Youth1–0W
12 Sep@ Ballinamallard United1–1D
5 Sep@ Dundela2–3L
28 Augvs Rathfriland3–1W
22 Aug@ Armagh City2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Moyola Park and Glenavon FC.

Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Annagh United151041+2134
2Glenavon FC14932+2030
3Newington Youth14923+1329
4Queen's University15726+923
5Newry City AFC15654-123
6Institute14635+321
7Ballinamallard United15636021
8Loughgall15555-520
9H&W Welders14617019
10Warrenpoint Town13535+118
11Ards15456-417
12Rathfriland14518-1016
13Moyola Park14437-1115
14Dundela13256-811
15Strabane Athletic15258-1211
16Armagh City15168-169

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?

Our pick is Glenavon FC to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?

On our numbers Moyola Park have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Glenavon FC 65%.

How many goals will there be in Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?

Our predicted score is Moyola Park 1–2 Glenavon FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC?

Moyola Park vs Glenavon FC (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.