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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Carlisle v Salford City: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Carlisle

WDDDW
0–2
FT

Salford City

WWLWW
Carlisle 31%Draw 23%Salford City 46% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.99
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds
1

Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSalford City to win ✓46% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.28

Carlisle vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Tuesday 28 July: Carlisle v Salford City in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Carlisle, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Darlington 1883, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Salford City, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Dundee Utd, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 1.9 xG, Salford City 2.0 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 31%, draw 23%, Salford City 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Carlisle to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 1–1 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Carlisle31%fair 3.23 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Salford City46%fair 2.19 · @1.80
3.94Expected goals
1.94Carlisle xG
1.99Salford City xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%

From our goals model: Carlisle 1.9 – 2.0 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CarlisleSalford City
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+9%+23%
Goals conceded vs average-6%-11%
Our expected goals here1.611.28

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalford City to win ✓46%2.191.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.551.70 ▲
Draw no betSalford City (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapCarlisle +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓64%1.56–
First team to scoreSalford City to score first ✓50%2.02–
Half-time resultSalford City ahead at half-time ✓34%2.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salford City / FT Salford City ✓25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.28–

Recent results

Carlisle – last 6

WDDDWW
21 Jul@ Darlington 18834–2W
3 Mayvs Boreham Wood1–1D
6 Apr@ Morecambe2–2D
3 Aprvs Gateshead0–0D
24 Mar@ FC Halifax Town1–0W
10 Mar@ Aldershot Town2–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Salford City – last 6

WWLWWL
25 Julvs Dundee Utd3–2W
18 Jul@ United of Manchester4–1W
25 May@ Notts County0–3L
10 May@ Grimsby2–1W
23 Aprvs Bromley2–0W
6 Apr@ Crewe0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Carlisle and Salford City.

Carlisle vs Salford City head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Chelsea6 Western Sydney Wanderers4 173%1.14X17%7.50211%17.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT NAC Breda3 OFI2 149%1.84X22%3.90229%3.70 1.6–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Solihull Moors1 Burton Albion1 126%4.33X25%3.70249%1.67 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Morecambe1 AFC Fylde1 136%2.50X23%3.75242%2.25 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Fleetwood Town1 Bolton1 122%6.00X21%5.00257%1.36 1.0–1.5xG 2Bolton to win 57%@1.36 ✗
FT Grimsby5 Lincoln1 132%5.10X22%4.10246%1.53 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Oldham0 Stockport County1 123%3.70X25%3.60252%1.80 1.1–1.7xG X2Stockport County or draw 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Swindon Town2 Leyton Orient1 131%2.90X23%3.55246%2.10 1.5–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Salford City?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?

On our numbers Carlisle have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salford City 46%.

How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Salford City?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Salford City?

Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is Carlisle vs Salford City?

Carlisle vs Salford City (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Tuesday 28 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.