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Chemik Bydgoszcz v Stargard Szczeciński: numbers & prediction

Chemik Bydgoszcz 22%Draw 17%Stargard Szczeciński 61% Expected goals 1.23 – 2.20
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2

Value bet: Stargard Szczeciński to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Chemik Bydgoszcz v Stargard Szczeciński in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Stargard Szczeciński are 6th (upper half) with 24.

Current form

Chemik Bydgoszcz, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalisz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Victoria Września, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Stargard Szczeciński, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chemik Bydgoszcz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chemik Bydgoszcz 22%, draw 17%, Stargard Szczeciński 61%.
  • Price worth noting: Stargard Szczeciński to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chemik Bydgoszcz22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @3.70
Stargard Szczeciński61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
3.43Expected goals
1.23Chemik Bydgoszcz xG
2.20Stargard Szczeciński xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%

From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 – 2.2 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗61%1.641.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betStargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapChemik Bydgoszcz +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
First team to scoreStargard Szczeciński to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultStargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.37–

Recent results

Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6

DDDLLD
19 Sepvs Kalisz1–1D
12 Sep@ Victoria Września2–2D
5 Sepvs Bałtyk Koszalin2–2D
1 Sepvs Piast Gliwice0–3L
28 Aug@ Kotwica Kórnik1–4L
22 Augvs Flota Świnoujście1–1D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stargard Szczeciński – last 6

DWLWWL
19 Sepvs Victoria Września1–1D
12 Sep@ Bałtyk Koszalin2–0W
5 Sepvs Kotwica Kórnik2–4L
29 Aug@ Flota Świnoujście5–1W
23 Augvs Luzino2–1W
19 Aug@ Polonia Środa1–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Stargard Szczeciński.

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stargard Szczeciński 61%.

How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Our predicted score is Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.