Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Stargard Szczeciński to win @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗61% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Chemik Bydgoszcz v Stargard Szczeciński in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Stargard Szczeciński are 6th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Chemik Bydgoszcz, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kalisz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Victoria Września, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Stargard Szczeciński, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Chemik Bydgoszcz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 xG, Stargard Szczeciński 2.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chemik Bydgoszcz 22%, draw 17%, Stargard Szczeciński 61%.
Price worth noting: Stargard Szczeciński to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chemik Bydgoszcz22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Draw17%fair 5.94 · @3.70
Stargard Szczeciński61%fair 1.64 · @1.91
3.43Expected goals
1.23Chemik Bydgoszcz xG
2.20Stargard Szczeciński xG
52%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.2 – 2.2 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
61%
1.64
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Stargard Szczeciński (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Chemik Bydgoszcz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Stargard Szczeciński to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6
DDDLLD
19 Sep
vs Kalisz
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Victoria Września
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Bałtyk Koszalin
2–2
D
1 Sep
vs Piast Gliwice
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Kotwica Kórnik
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Flota Świnoujście
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
DWLWWL
19 Sep
vs Victoria Września
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bałtyk Koszalin
2–0
W
5 Sep
vs Kotwica Kórnik
2–4
L
29 Aug
@ Flota Świnoujście
5–1
W
23 Aug
vs Luzino
2–1
W
19 Aug
@ Polonia Środa
1–4
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemik Bydgoszcz and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stargard Szczeciński 61%.
How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Chemik Bydgoszcz 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.