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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Luzino v Noteć Czarnków: numbers & prediction

Luzino

WWWLW
2–0
FT
Luzino 66%Draw 19%Noteć Czarnków 15% Expected goals 2.41 – 1.09
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultLuzino to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Luzino welcome Noteć Czarnków for a III Liga Group 2 fixture on Saturday 26 September (11:00 WAT). In the table, Luzino are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Noteć Czarnków are 9th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Luzino, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Unia Swarzędz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Noteć Czarnków, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Polonia Środa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Luzino 2.4 xG, Noteć Czarnków 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Luzino 66%, draw 19%, Noteć Czarnków 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luzino 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Luzino66%fair 1.51 · @1.33
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @5.00
Noteć Czarnków15%fair 6.55 · @6.25
3.50Expected goals
2.41Luzino xG
1.09Noteć Czarnków xG
51%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Luzino 2.4 – 1.1 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLuzino to win ✓66%1.511.33
Double chanceLuzino or draw ✓85%1.181.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.97–
Draw no betLuzino (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapLuzino -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreLuzino to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultLuzino ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Luzino / FT Luzino ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.46–

Recent results

Luzino – last 6

WWWLWL
19 Sep@ Unia Swarzędz3–1W
11 Sepvs Grom Nowy Staw5–1W
5 Sep@ Gedania Gdansk4–0W
2 Sepvs Wisla Plock2–3L
28 Augvs Lipno Stęszew2–1W
23 Aug@ Stargard Szczeciński1–2L
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Noteć Czarnków – last 6

DLWLWW
19 Sepvs Polonia Środa0–0D
12 Sep@ Lech Poznań II1–2L
5 Sepvs Kluczevia Stargard3–1W
28 Aug@ Wda Świecie1–2L
22 Augvs Elana Toruń3–1W
19 Aug@ Kalisz1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Luzino and Noteć Czarnków.

Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

On our numbers Luzino have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Noteć Czarnków 15%.

How many goals will there be in Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

Our predicted score is Luzino 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków?

Luzino vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.