Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07
Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Polonia Środa v Elana Toruń in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Polonia Środa are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 16 matches; Elana Toruń are 11th (lower half) with 20. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Polonia Środa, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Noteć Czarnków, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Elana Toruń, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lech Poznań II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Polonia Środa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Elana Toruń.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Elana Toruń 0–3 Polonia Środa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Środa 2.7 xG, Elana Toruń 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 52% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Środa 71%, draw 18%, Elana Toruń 12%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Środa 2–1 Elana Toruń. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Środa71%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @4.75
Elana Toruń12%fair 8.63 · @6.00
3.74Expected goals
2.68Polonia Środa xG
1.06Elana Toruń xG
52%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.7 – 1.1 Elana Toruń expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Elana Toruń 12%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–1 Elana Toruń, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń?
Polonia Środa vs Elana Toruń (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
