Victoria Września 56%Draw 19%Lipno Stęszew 25%Expected goals 2.01 – 1.25
61%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Victoria Września to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVictoria Września to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lipno Stęszew travel to face Victoria Września on Saturday 26 September in the III Liga Group 2 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Września are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Lipno Stęszew are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Victoria Września, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stargard Szczeciński, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Lipno Stęszew, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bałtyk Koszalin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Victoria Września, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Lipno Stęszew.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Victoria Września 1–3 Lipno Stęszew.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Września 2.0 xG, Lipno Stęszew 1.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Września 56%, draw 19%, Lipno Stęszew 25%.
Price worth noting: Victoria Września to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Września 2–1 Lipno Stęszew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Victoria Września56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
Lipno Stęszew25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
3.26Expected goals
2.01Victoria Września xG
1.25Lipno Stęszew xG
52%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Victoria Września 2.0 – 1.3 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Victoria Września have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lipno Stęszew 25%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our predicted score is Victoria Września 2–1 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
