Bałtyk Koszalin v Unia Swarzędz Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUnia Swarzędz to win ✗42% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Bałtyk Koszalin v Unia Swarzędz in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Bałtyk Koszalin are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Unia Swarzędz are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bałtyk Koszalin, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Grom Nowy Staw, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Unia Swarzędz, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Kotwica Kórnik, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Bałtyk Koszalin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Unia Swarzędz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bałtyk Koszalin 1.5 xG, Unia Swarzędz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bałtyk Koszalin 39%, draw 20%, Unia Swarzędz 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bałtyk Koszalin 1–2 Unia Swarzędz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bałtyk Koszalin39%fair 2.59 · @2.70

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70

Unia Swarzędz42%fair 2.40 · @2.10

3.12Expected goals

1.52Bałtyk Koszalin xG

1.60Unia Swarzędz xG

56%Both score

60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

1–07%

2–27%

From our goals model: Bałtyk Koszalin 1.5 – 1.6 Unia Swarzędz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Unia Swarzędz to win ✗	42%	2.40	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.80	–
Draw no bet	Unia Swarzędz (draw no bet)	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Bałtyk Koszalin +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	60%	1.66	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Unia Swarzędz to score first	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Unia Swarzędz / FT Unia Swarzędz ✗	24%	4.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.66	–

Bałtyk Koszalin – last 6

WWLLDW

3 Oct	@ Grom Nowy Staw	3–1	W
26 Sep	vs Gedania Gdansk	3–1	W
19 Sep	@ Lipno Stęszew	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Stargard Szczeciński	0–2	L
5 Sep	@ Chemik Bydgoszcz	2–2	D
29 Aug	vs Victoria Września	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Unia Swarzędz – last 6

WWLLDL

3 Oct	vs Kotwica Kórnik	7–0	W
26 Sep	@ Flota Świnoujście	2–0	W
19 Sep	vs Luzino	1–3	L
11 Sep	@ Polonia Środa	3–4	L
4 Sep	vs Lech Poznań II	1–1	D
28 Aug	@ Kluczevia Stargard	0–2	L

2.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

On our numbers Bałtyk Koszalin have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Unia Swarzędz 42%.

How many goals will there be in Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

Our predicted score is Bałtyk Koszalin 1–2 Unia Swarzędz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz?

Bałtyk Koszalin vs Unia Swarzędz (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Bałtyk Koszalin v Unia Swarzędz: numbers & prediction