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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Victoria Września v Grom Nowy Staw: numbers & prediction

Victoria Września 38%Draw 21%Grom Nowy Staw 41% Expected goals 1.76 – 1.83
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultGrom Nowy Staw to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.78
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.32

Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the III Liga Group 2 brings Victoria Września against Grom Nowy Staw. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Victoria Września are 17th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 16 matches; Grom Nowy Staw are 13th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Victoria Września, last 5: DDDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gedania Gdansk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Grom Nowy Staw, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bałtyk Koszalin, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Grom Nowy Staw, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Victoria Września.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Września 1.8 xG, Grom Nowy Staw 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Września 38%, draw 21%, Grom Nowy Staw 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Września 1–2 Grom Nowy Staw. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoria Września38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Grom Nowy Staw41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
3.60Expected goals
1.76Victoria Września xG
1.83Grom Nowy Staw xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%

From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.8 – 1.8 Grom Nowy Staw expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrom Nowy Staw to win ✗41%2.452.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.78–
Draw no betGrom Nowy Staw (draw no bet) ✗52%1.93–
Asian handicapVictoria Września +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.541.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
First team to scoreGrom Nowy Staw to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grom Nowy Staw / FT Grom Nowy Staw ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.32–

Recent results

Victoria Września – last 6

DDDDDL
3 Oct@ Gedania Gdansk0–0D
26 Sepvs Lipno Stęszew1–1D
19 Sep@ Stargard Szczeciński1–1D
12 Sepvs Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2D
5 Sepvs Kalisz3–3D
29 Aug@ Bałtyk Koszalin0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Grom Nowy Staw – last 6

LWWLDW
3 Octvs Bałtyk Koszalin1–3L
26 Sep@ Kotwica Kórnik3–1W
19 Sepvs Flota Świnoujście5–0W
11 Sep@ Luzino1–5L
5 Sepvs Polonia Środa4–4D
29 Aug@ Lech Poznań II4–2W
3.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Victoria Września and Grom Nowy Staw.

Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?

On our numbers Victoria Września have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Grom Nowy Staw 41%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Our predicted score is Victoria Września 1–2 Grom Nowy Staw, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw?

Victoria Września vs Grom Nowy Staw (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.