Chemik Bydgoszcz v Gedania Gdansk Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChemik Bydgoszcz to win ✗43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.57

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.98

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Chemik Bydgoszcz v Gedania Gdansk in the III Liga Group 2. In the table, Chemik Bydgoszcz are 14th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Gedania Gdansk are 12th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chemik Bydgoszcz, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lipno Stęszew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Gedania Gdansk, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Victoria Września, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.8 xG, Gedania Gdansk 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Chemik Bydgoszcz 43%, draw 20%, Gedania Gdansk 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chemik Bydgoszcz 2–1 Gedania Gdansk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chemik Bydgoszcz43%fair 2.35 · @2.20

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.70

Gedania Gdansk38%fair 2.65 · @2.55

3.50Expected goals

1.81Chemik Bydgoszcz xG

1.69Gedania Gdansk xG

58%Both score

64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%

2–18%

1–28%

2–27%

1–05%

0–15%

From our goals model: Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.8 – 1.7 Gedania Gdansk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chemik Bydgoszcz to win ✗	43%	2.35	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.74	–
Draw no bet	Chemik Bydgoszcz (draw no bet) ✗	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Gedania Gdansk +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.56	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	54%	1.86	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	73%	1.38	–
First team to score	Chemik Bydgoszcz to score first ✗	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	36%	2.77	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chemik Bydgoszcz / FT Chemik Bydgoszcz ✗	25%	4.01	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.98	–

Chemik Bydgoszcz – last 6

WDDDDL

3 Oct	@ Lipno Stęszew	1–0	W
26 Sep	vs Stargard Szczeciński	3–3	D
19 Sep	vs Kalisz	1–1	D
12 Sep	@ Victoria Września	2–2	D
5 Sep	vs Bałtyk Koszalin	2–2	D
1 Sep	vs Piast Gliwice	0–3	L

1.5Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Gedania Gdansk – last 6

DLWDLL

3 Oct	vs Victoria Września	0–0	D
26 Sep	@ Bałtyk Koszalin	1–3	L
19 Sep	vs Kotwica Kórnik	6–1	W
12 Sep	@ Flota Świnoujście	1–1	D
5 Sep	vs Luzino	0–4	L
28 Aug	@ Polonia Środa	3–4	L

1.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	16	11	4	1	+22	37
2	Kluczevia Stargard	16	9	3	4	+4	30
3	Luzino	16	9	2	5	+15	29
4	Wda Świecie	16	8	5	3	+4	29
5	Lech Poznań II	16	8	3	5	+11	27
6	Stargard Szczeciński	16	6	6	4	+9	24
7	Unia Swarzędz	16	6	4	6	+4	22
8	Bałtyk Koszalin	16	5	6	5	+2	21
9	Noteć Czarnków	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Kalisz	16	4	8	4	-2	20
11	Elana Toruń	16	5	5	6	-3	20
12	Gedania Gdansk	16	4	7	5	0	19
13	Grom Nowy Staw	16	6	1	9	-1	19
14	Chemik Bydgoszcz	16	4	6	6	-5	18
15	Flota Świnoujście	16	5	3	8	-13	18
16	Lipno Stęszew	16	4	2	10	-11	14
17	Victoria Września	16	2	8	6	-12	14
18	Kotwica Kórnik	16	3	2	11	-22	11

Team

Pts

+22

+15

+11

-2

-2

-3

-1

-5

-13

-11

-12

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk?

On our numbers Chemik Bydgoszcz have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gedania Gdansk 38%.

How many goals will there be in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk?

Our predicted score is Chemik Bydgoszcz 2–1 Gedania Gdansk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk?

Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Gedania Gdansk (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Chemik Bydgoszcz v Gedania Gdansk: numbers & prediction