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Stargard Szczeciński v Lipno Stęszew: numbers & prediction

Stargard Szczeciński 65%Draw 19%Lipno Stęszew 16% Expected goals 2.37 – 1.11
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗65% · @1.38
Double chanceStargard Szczeciński or draw ✗84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 10 October the III Liga Group 2 brings Stargard Szczeciński against Lipno Stęszew. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Stargard Szczeciński are 6th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Lipno Stęszew are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.

Current form

Stargard Szczeciński, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Kalisz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Lipno Stęszew, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Chemik Bydgoszcz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Stargard Szczeciński, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Lipno Stęszew.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Lipno Stęszew 1–2 Stargard Szczeciński.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stargard Szczeciński 2.4 xG, Lipno Stęszew 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stargard Szczeciński 65%, draw 19%, Lipno Stęszew 16%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Lipno Stęszew. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stargard Szczeciński65%fair 1.54 · @1.38
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.75
Lipno Stęszew16%fair 6.20 · @5.50
3.48Expected goals
2.37Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.11Lipno Stęszew xG
54%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 2.4 – 1.1 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗65%1.541.38
Double chanceStargard Szczeciński or draw ✗84%1.191.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betStargard Szczeciński (draw no bet) ✗80%1.25–
Asian handicapStargard Szczeciński -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.85–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
First team to scoreStargard Szczeciński to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultStargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Stargard Szczeciński – last 6

WDDWLW
3 Octvs Kalisz5–0W
26 Sep@ Chemik Bydgoszcz3–3D
19 Sepvs Victoria Września1–1D
12 Sep@ Bałtyk Koszalin2–0W
5 Sepvs Kotwica Kórnik2–4L
29 Aug@ Flota Świnoujście5–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lipno Stęszew – last 6

LDWLLL
3 Octvs Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1L
26 Sep@ Victoria Września1–1D
19 Sepvs Bałtyk Koszalin2–1W
12 Sep@ Kotwica Kórnik1–4L
5 Sepvs Flota Świnoujście1–3L
28 Aug@ Luzino1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Mar 2026Lipno Stęszew v Stargard Szczeciński1–2
Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew head-to-head page →

III Liga Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa161141+2237
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie16853+429
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście16538-1318
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września16286-1214
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

More III Liga Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?

On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lipno Stęszew 16%.

How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?

Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew?

Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.