Albacete v Oviedo Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOviedo to win ✓43% · @3.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.57

Albacete vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Albacete v Oviedo in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Carlos Belmonte. In the table, Albacete are 21st, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Oviedo are 9th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Albacete, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Real Sociedad II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Oviedo, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leganes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Oviedo, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Albacete.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 0.9 xG, Oviedo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 33%, draw 24%, Oviedo 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 0–1 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Albacete33%fair 3.00 · @2.35

Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10

Oviedo43%fair 2.35 · @3.15

2.02Expected goals

0.92Albacete xG

1.10Oviedo xG

54%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

1–113%

0–013%

1–012%

0–28%

1–27%

From our goals model: Albacete 0.9 – 1.1 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oviedo to win ✓	43%	2.35	3.15 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.86	1.93
Draw no bet	Oviedo (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Albacete +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	62%	1.60	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	1.05
First team to score	Oviedo to score first ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	50%	2.02	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo ✓	22%	4.52	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.57	–

Albacete – last 6

LLDWLL

22 Aug	vs Real Sociedad II	1–2	L
16 Aug	@ Las Palmas	1–2	L
8 Aug	vs Real Murcia	1–1	D
7 Aug	vs Eldense	1–0	W
1 Aug	@ Levante	1–2	L
31 Jul	vs Real Madrid II	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Oviedo – last 6

LDWLWD

22 Aug	vs Leganes	0–1	L
15 Aug	vs Granada CF	0–0	D
8 Aug	vs Le Havre	3–2	W
1 Aug	@ 1. FC Nürnberg	1–2	L
29 Jul	vs Ponferradina	4–0	W
25 Jul	vs Deportivo La Coruna	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Albacete vs Oviedo?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Albacete vs Oviedo?

On our numbers Albacete have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oviedo 43%.

How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Oviedo?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Oviedo?

Our predicted score is Albacete 0–1 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Albacete vs Oviedo?

Albacete vs Oviedo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Belmonte.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Albacete v Oviedo: numbers & prediction