Leganes v Eldense Prediction & Expected Goals (29 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeganes to win ✓58% · @1.90

Double chanceLeganes or draw ✓81% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Leganes vs Eldense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Leganes v Eldense in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Butarque. In the table, Leganes are 18th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Eldense are 15th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leganes, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oviedo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Eldense, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cadiz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Leganes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Eldense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leganes 1.7 xG, Eldense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Leganes 58%, draw 23%, Eldense 19%.
Lower-risk option: Leganes or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Leganes to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Leganes or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leganes 1–0 Eldense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leganes58%fair 1.73 · @1.90

Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.45

Eldense19%fair 5.26 · @3.90

2.53Expected goals

1.69Leganes xG

0.84Eldense xG

54%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–011%

1–111%

2–110%

0–08%

0–17%

From our goals model: Leganes 1.7 – 0.8 Eldense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leganes to win ✓	58%	1.73	1.90 ▲
Double chance	Leganes or draw ✓	81%	1.23	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	1.80
Draw no bet	Leganes (draw no bet) ✓	75%	1.33	–
Asian handicap	Eldense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	1.09
First team to score	Leganes to score first ✓	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	42%	2.35	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leganes / FT Leganes ✗	35%	2.83	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.46	–

Leganes – last 6

WDDWWL

22 Aug	@ Oviedo	1–0	W
16 Aug	@ Girona	1–1	D
8 Aug	vs Tenerife	0–0	D
7 Aug	vs Mérida AD	3–0	W
4 Aug	vs Al-Rayyan SC	2–1	W
1 Aug	@ Swansea	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Eldense – last 6

DLLLLW

22 Aug	vs Cadiz	2–2	D
17 Aug	@ Almeria	0–3	L
7 Aug	@ Albacete	0–1	L
4 Aug	vs Villarreal II	1–3	L
1 Aug	@ Real Murcia	1–2	L
25 Jul	vs Al-Ettifaq	3–1	W

1.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leganes vs Eldense?

Our pick is Leganes or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Leganes vs Eldense?

On our numbers Leganes have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Eldense 19%.

How many goals will there be in Leganes vs Eldense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leganes vs Eldense?

Our predicted score is Leganes 1–0 Eldense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Leganes vs Eldense?

Leganes vs Eldense (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Leganes v Eldense: numbers & prediction