Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 2.54 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlmeria to win ✗44% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Sabadell vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Sabadell v Almeria in the Segunda División, played at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta. In the table, Sabadell are 13th, lower half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Sabadell, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Castellón, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Almeria, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tenerife, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sabadell 0.8 xG, Almeria 1.0 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sabadell 33%, draw 23%, Almeria 44%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Almeria to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabadell 0–0 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sabadell33%fair 3.08 · @2.82
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Almeria44%fair 2.27 · @2.54
1.71Expected goals
0.75Sabadell xG
0.96Almeria xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
0–117%
1–014%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%
From our goals model: Sabadell 0.8 – 1.0 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almeria to win✗
44%
2.27
2.54 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Almeria (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Sabadell +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.07
First team to score
Almeria to score first✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.78
–
Recent results
Sabadell – last 6
DDWDDD
23 Aug
@ Castellón
0–0
D
17 Aug
@ Sporting Gijon
0–0
D
9 Aug
@ Olot
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Girona
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ FC Andorra
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
LWWWLL
23 Aug
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Cordoba
4–0
W
4 Aug
@ Al-Nassr
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ Real Betis
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sabadell and Almeria.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sabadell vs Almeria?
On our numbers Sabadell have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almeria 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sabadell vs Almeria?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sabadell vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Sabadell 0–0 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sabadell vs Almeria?
Sabadell vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
