Girona vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Segunda División brings Girona against Las Palmas at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Girona are 8th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Girona, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cordoba, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Las Palmas, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AD Ceuta FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Girona.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.8 xG, Las Palmas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 62%, draw 23%, Las Palmas 15%.
Lower-risk option: Girona or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 2–0 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Girona62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.60
Las Palmas15%fair 6.59 · @4.90
2.64Expected goals
1.84Girona xG
0.80Las Palmas xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Girona 1.8 – 0.8 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✓
62%
1.62
1.70
Double chance
Girona or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Draw no bet
Girona (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Girona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Girona to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Girona ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Girona – last 6
LDDDLD
21 Aug
@ Cordoba
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Leganes
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnastic
1–1
D
7 Aug
vs Sabadell
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Arsenal
1–4
L
29 Jul
vs Castellón
3–3
D
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Las Palmas – last 6
WWLWLD
22 Aug
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Albacete
2–1
W
31 Jul
vs NEOM
0–1
L
28 Jul
vs União de Leiria
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Las Palmas.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Girona vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Girona have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Las Palmas 15%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Girona 2–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Las Palmas?
Girona vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
