Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Eibar to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEibar to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEibar or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Eibar vs Las Palmas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Eibar v Las Palmas in the Segunda División, played at Ipurua Municipal Stadium. In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; Las Palmas are 10th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Eibar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eldense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Las Palmas, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Burgos, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Las Palmas.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Eibar 3–1 Las Palmas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 1.7 xG, Las Palmas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 57%, draw 22%, Las Palmas 21%.
Lower-risk option: Eibar or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Eibar to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Eibar or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 1–0 Las Palmas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eibar57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30
Las Palmas21%fair 4.76 · @4.00
2.65Expected goals
1.72Eibar xG
0.93Las Palmas xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Eibar 1.7 – 0.9 Las Palmas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Eibar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eibar vs Las Palmas?
On our numbers Eibar have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Las Palmas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Las Palmas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Our predicted score is Eibar 1–0 Las Palmas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Eibar vs Las Palmas?
Eibar vs Las Palmas (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ipurua Municipal Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
