Mallorca vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mallorca welcome Almeria to Estadi Mallorca Son Moix for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 27 September (15:15 WAT). In the table, Mallorca are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Mallorca, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Almeria, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Celta de Vigo II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.1 xG, Almeria 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 47%, draw 22%, Almeria 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca47%fair 2.14 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Almeria32%fair 3.17 · @3.30
2.00Expected goals
1.15Mallorca xG
0.85Almeria xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.1 – 0.9 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✗
47%
2.14
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.75
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Almeria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mallorca to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.18
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 6
WWDWLW
19 Sep
@ Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Eldense
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs AD Ceuta FC
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Granada CF
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Valladolid
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Almeria – last 6
WWWLLW
20 Sep
vs Celta de Vigo II
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Cordoba
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Cadiz
3–2
W
29 Aug
@ Sabadell
0–1
L
23 Aug
@ Tenerife
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Eldense
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Almeria.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Mallorca vs Almeria?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 32%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Almeria?
Mallorca vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
