Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 3.80 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.41
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Gijon travel to face Oviedo on Sunday 27 September in the Segunda División, with Nuevo Carlos Tartiere the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Oviedo are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Oviedo, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sabadell, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over FC Andorra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 0.8 xG, Sporting Gijon 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 43%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 33%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijon to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 0–0 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oviedo43%fair 2.35 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Sporting Gijon33%fair 3.00 · @3.80
1.50Expected goals
0.83Oviedo xG
0.67Sporting Gijon xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–018%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Oviedo 0.8 – 0.7 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
43%
2.35
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Gijon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.41
–
Recent results
Oviedo – last 6
LWDWLD
20 Sep
@ Sabadell
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Valladolid
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Burgos
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Albacete
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Leganes
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs Granada CF
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WLLWWD
19 Sep
@ FC Andorra
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Eldense
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Girona
0–2
L
28 Aug
@ Tenerife
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Burgos
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sporting Gijon 33%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 0–0 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
