Eibar v Mallorca Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEibar to win ✗39% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43

Eibar vs Mallorca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Eibar welcome Mallorca to Estadio Municipal de Ipurua for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 17 October (15:15 WAT). In the table, Eibar are 4th, among the top four, on 23 points after 12 matches; Mallorca are 6th (upper half) with 22. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Eibar, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Oviedo, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Mallorca, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Las Palmas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Eibar, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Mallorca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eibar 1.2 xG, Mallorca 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Eibar 39%, draw 24%, Mallorca 37%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eibar 1–1 Mallorca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eibar39%fair 2.58 · @2.50

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90

Mallorca37%fair 2.72 · @2.75

2.44Expected goals

1.24Eibar xG

1.20Mallorca xG

59%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Eibar 1.2 – 1.2 Mallorca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Eibar to win ✗	39%	2.58	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.71	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Eibar (draw no bet)	51%	1.95	–
Asian handicap	Mallorca +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Eibar to score first	46%	2.15	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Eibar / FT Eibar ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.43	–

Eibar – last 6

LWWWWW

12 Oct	@ Oviedo	1–3	L
3 Oct	@ Albacete	3–1	W
27 Sep	vs Las Palmas	3–2	W
19 Sep	@ Eldense	2–1	W
14 Sep	@ Celta de Vigo II	4–0	W
6 Sep	vs Granada CF	3–0	W

2.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Mallorca – last 6

WDLWWD

11 Oct	vs Las Palmas	3–1	W
4 Oct	@ Girona	0–0	D
27 Sep	vs Almeria	0–1	L
19 Sep	@ Real Sociedad II	1–0	W
13 Sep	vs Sabadell	2–0	W
5 Sep	@ Eldense	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5

Team

Pts

+14

+18

-1

+10

-2

-2

-6

-6

-7

-12

-5

-2

-11

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Eibar vs Mallorca?

On our numbers Eibar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mallorca 37%.

How many goals will there be in Eibar vs Mallorca?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eibar vs Mallorca?

Our predicted score is Eibar 1–1 Mallorca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Eibar vs Mallorca?

Eibar vs Mallorca (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Eibar v Mallorca: numbers & prediction