Real Sociedad II 16%Draw 22%Almeria 62%Expected goals 0.86 – 1.92
84%
Betarazi pick
Almeria or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Almeria to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlmeria to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceAlmeria or draw ✓84% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Almeria travel to face Real Sociedad II on Saturday 17 October in the Segunda División, with Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Real Sociedad II are 17th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Almeria are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Sociedad II, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Celta de Vigo II, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Almeria, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Leganes, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Almeria, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.5 for Real Sociedad II.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Almeria 5–1 Real Sociedad II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Sociedad II 0.9 xG, Almeria 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Sociedad II 16%, draw 22%, Almeria 62%.
Lower-risk option: Almeria or draw (84%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Almeria to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Almeria or draw (84%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Sociedad II16%fair 6.13 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Almeria62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
2.78Expected goals
0.86Real Sociedad II xG
1.92Almeria xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad II 0.9 – 1.9 Almeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our pick is Almeria or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
On our numbers Real Sociedad II have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Almeria 62%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad II 0–1 Almeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad II vs Almeria?
Real Sociedad II vs Almeria (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
