Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Sporting Gijon to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceSporting Gijon or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.98
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Segunda División brings Sporting Gijon against Albacete. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Albacete are 21st (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cadiz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Albacete, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Valladolid, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sporting Gijon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Albacete.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.5 xG, Albacete 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 56%, draw 22%, Albacete 22%.
Lower-risk option: Sporting Gijon or draw (78%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sporting Gijon to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sporting Gijon or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Albacete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Albacete22%fair 4.59 · @3.60
2.33Expected goals
1.52Sporting Gijon xG
0.81Albacete xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.5 – 0.8 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Our pick is Sporting Gijon or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Albacete 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Albacete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
Sporting Gijon vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
