Athletic Club 62%Draw 22%Alaves 16%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.83
62%
Betarazi pick
Athletic Club to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Athletic Club vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alaves travel to face Athletic Club on Saturday 19 September in the La Liga, with San Mamés Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Alaves are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Elche, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Alaves, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Valencia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alaves, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.9 xG, Alaves 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 62%, draw 22%, Alaves 16%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Athletic Club to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 1–0 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.75
Alaves16%fair 6.44 · @5.00
2.73Expected goals
1.90Athletic Club xG
0.83Alaves xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.9 – 0.8 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 6
DWWLLL
12 Sep
vs Elche
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Atletico Madrid
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Celta Vigo
2–0
W
27 Aug
@ Barcelona
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Sevilla
1–3
L
21 Aug
@ Zaragoza
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alaves – last 6
LLWWDW
15 Sep
vs Valencia
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Racing Santander
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Osasuna
5–2
W
28 Aug
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
20 Aug
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Getafe
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Alaves.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Alaves?
Our pick is Athletic Club to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Alaves?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alaves 16%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Alaves?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–0 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Alaves?
Athletic Club vs Alaves (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at San Mamés Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
