Sevilla v Barcelona Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBarcelona to win ✓74% · @1.22

Double chanceBarcelona or draw ✓92% · @1.05

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17

Sevilla vs Barcelona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sevilla welcome Barcelona to Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 19 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Sevilla are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Barcelona are 1st (leading the league) with 33. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sevilla, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo La Coruna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Barcelona, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Racing Santander, at home. The attack is flying at 4.7 goals per game.

Momentum favours Barcelona, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for Sevilla.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Barcelona 5–2 Sevilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 1.1 xG, Barcelona 3.0 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 8%, draw 18%, Barcelona 74%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Barcelona to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 1–2 Barcelona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sevilla8%fair 12.13 · @11.00

Draw18%fair 5.54 · @6.50

Barcelona74%fair 1.36 · @1.22

4.08Expected goals

1.08Sevilla xG

3.00Barcelona xG

64%Both score

77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%

1–38%

0–28%

0–38%

1–46%

0–46%

From our goals model: Sevilla 1.1 – 3.0 Barcelona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Barcelona to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.22
Double chance	Barcelona or draw ✓	92%	1.09	1.05
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.62
Draw no bet	Barcelona (draw no bet) ✓	90%	1.11	–
Asian handicap	Barcelona -1 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.09	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	–
First team to score	Barcelona to score first	72%	1.38	–
Half-time result	Barcelona ahead at half-time ✗	58%	1.73	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Barcelona / FT Barcelona ✗	53%	1.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.17	–

Sevilla – last 6

WWDLWW

16 Sep	@ Deportivo La Coruna	1–0	W
11 Sep	vs Valencia	1–0	W
6 Sep	@ Espanyol	1–1	D
29 Aug	vs Atletico Madrid	1–3	L
22 Aug	@ Athletic Club	3–1	W
15 Aug	vs Rayo Vallecano	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Barcelona – last 6

WWWWWW

16 Sep	vs Racing Santander	7–2	W
13 Sep	@ Levante	4–2	W
9 Sep	vs Feyenoord	5–1	W
6 Sep	@ Valencia	5–0	W
31 Aug	vs Rayo Vallecano	5–2	W
27 Aug	vs Athletic Club	2–0	W

4.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5

Team

Pts

+35

+21

+13

-2

-13

-2

-1

-6

-10

-11

-5

-6

-12

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Our pick is Barcelona to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sevilla vs Barcelona?

On our numbers Sevilla have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Barcelona 74%.

How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Barcelona?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–2 Barcelona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Sevilla vs Barcelona (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sevilla v Barcelona: numbers & prediction

Sevilla

Barcelona

Barcelona to win

Picks by market

Sevilla vs Barcelona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Head to head

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Sevilla – last 6

Barcelona – last 6

Head to head

La Liga table

More La Liga predictions

Frequently asked questions