Celta Vigo 62%Draw 24%Racing Santander 14%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.92
86%
Betarazi pick
Celta Vigo or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Celta Vigo to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the La Liga brings Celta Vigo against Racing Santander at Municipal de Balaídos. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Racing Santander are 10th (upper half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Omonia Nicosia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Racing Santander, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 2–7 defeat to Barcelona, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Racing Santander, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 2.1 xG, Racing Santander 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 62%, draw 24%, Racing Santander 14%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Celta Vigo to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Celta Vigo or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 2–0 Racing Santander. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo62%fair 1.61 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.80
Racing Santander14%fair 7.31 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
2.08Celta Vigo xG
0.92Racing Santander xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 2.1 – 0.9 Racing Santander expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Celta Vigo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
LDDDLL
16 Sep
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Malaga
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Getafe
1–1
D
3 Sep
@ Real Sociedad
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
27 Aug
vs Osasuna
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Racing Santander – last 6
LWLWLD
16 Sep
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
12 Sep
vs Alaves
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Rayo Vallecano
2–3
L
28 Aug
vs Elche
3–2
W
23 Aug
@ Getafe
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Villarreal
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Racing Santander.
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
Our pick is Celta Vigo or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Racing Santander 14%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 2–0 Racing Santander, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander?
Celta Vigo vs Racing Santander (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
