Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultOsasuna to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.15
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Osasuna welcome Rayo Vallecano to Estadio El Sadar for a La Liga fixture on Saturday 19 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Rayo Vallecano are 14th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Osasuna, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atletico Madrid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Espanyol, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 1.8 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 40%, draw 23%, Rayo Vallecano 37%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osasuna40%fair 2.53 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10
Rayo Vallecano37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
3.50Expected goals
1.78Osasuna xG
1.72Rayo Vallecano xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.8 – 1.7 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win✗
40%
2.53
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Osasuna (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Osasuna to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.15
–
Recent results
Osasuna – last 6
LLLWWD
16 Sep
@ Atletico Madrid
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Espanyol
0–2
L
6 Sep
@ Alaves
2–5
L
31 Aug
vs Getafe
1–0
W
27 Aug
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Levante
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
WLWLDL
15 Sep
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Racing Santander
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
20 Aug
vs Alaves
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Sevilla
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rayo Vallecano 37%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano?
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
