Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Alcorcon to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗60% · @1.83
Double chanceAlcorcon or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Alcorcon vs Ibiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcorcon welcome Ibiza to Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 25 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Alcorcon are 5th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Ibiza are 6th (upper half) with 18. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alcorcon, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huesca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Ibiza, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Águilas, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcorcon 1.8 xG, Ibiza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcorcon 60%, draw 24%, Ibiza 15%.
Lower-risk option: Alcorcon or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Alcorcon to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alcorcon or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcorcon 1–0 Ibiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcorcon60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Ibiza15%fair 6.58 · @3.90
2.56Expected goals
1.78Alcorcon xG
0.78Ibiza xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Alcorcon 1.8 – 0.8 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Alcorcon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.85
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Alcorcon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Alcorcon ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Alcorcon – last 6
DLWWWD
16 Oct
vs Huesca
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Teruel
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Juventud Torremolinos
5–0
W
27 Sep
@ Real Madrid II
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Gimnastic
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Antequera
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 6
WDWLLW
17 Oct
@ Águilas
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Real Madrid II
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Villarreal II
1–0
W
25 Sep
vs Zaragoza
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Real Jaén
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcorcon and Ibiza.
Our pick is Alcorcon or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Alcorcon have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ibiza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Alcorcon 1–0 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alcorcon vs Ibiza?
Alcorcon vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
