Villarreal II 60%Draw 26%FC Cartagena 14%Expected goals 1.90 – 0.85
86%
Betarazi pick
Villarreal II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceVillarreal II or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Villarreal II v FC Cartagena in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, played at Estadio de la Ceramica. In the table, Villarreal II are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; FC Cartagena are 8th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Villarreal II, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Teruel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
FC Cartagena, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Europa Fc, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal II 1.9 xG, FC Cartagena 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal II 60%, draw 26%, FC Cartagena 14%.
Lower-risk option: Villarreal II or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Villarreal II or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal II 1–0 FC Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal II60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
FC Cartagena14%fair 6.91 · @3.40
2.75Expected goals
1.90Villarreal II xG
0.85FC Cartagena xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Villarreal II 1.9 – 0.9 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✓
60%
1.67
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Villarreal II or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Villarreal II ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Villarreal II – last 6
WDLWDW
17 Oct
vs Teruel
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Real Jaén
3–3
D
4 Oct
vs Ibiza
0–1
L
25 Sep
@ Atlético Madrid II
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Antequera
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Huesca
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Cartagena – last 6
WDWWLD
16 Oct
vs Europa Fc
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Antequera
1–1
D
7 Oct
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Águilas
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Zaragoza
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Rayo Majadahonda
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal II and FC Cartagena.
What is the prediction for Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
Our pick is Villarreal II or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
On our numbers Villarreal II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FC Cartagena 14%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Villarreal II 1–0 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena?
Villarreal II vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
