Gimnastic vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hércules travel to face Gimnastic on Sunday 25 October in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Nou Estadi de Tarragona the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Gimnastic are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Hércules are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnastic, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlético Madrid II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Hércules, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Algeciras, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Hércules, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnastic 1.0 xG, Hércules 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnastic 33%, draw 25%, Hércules 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnastic 1–1 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnastic33%fair 2.99 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Hércules42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.04Gimnastic xG
1.21Hércules xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Gimnastic 1.0 – 1.2 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hércules to win✗
42%
2.39
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Hércules (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Gimnastic +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Hércules to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hércules / FT Hércules✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.47
–
Recent results
Gimnastic – last 6
WDLLLW
18 Oct
vs Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
4 Oct
@ Real Murcia
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Sant Andreu
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Alcorcon
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Algeciras
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 6
LWDWWW
17 Oct
@ Algeciras
0–2
L
12 Oct
vs Sant Andreu
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Real Jaén
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Águilas
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Juventud Torremolinos
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Europa Fc
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnastic and Hércules.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Hércules?
On our numbers Gimnastic have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hércules 42%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnastic vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnastic vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Gimnastic 1–1 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Gimnastic vs Hércules?
Gimnastic vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
