Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 52% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +66%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓52% · @3.20
Double chanceGernika or draw ✓79% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Gernika vs Bergantiños: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Gernika v Bergantiños in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Gernika are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Bergantiños are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Gernika, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Alavés II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bergantiños, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Sámano, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bergantiños, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Gernika.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gernika 1.2 xG, Bergantiños 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gernika 27%, draw 52%, Bergantiños 21%.
Lower-risk option: Gernika or draw (79%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gernika or draw (79%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gernika 1–1 Bergantiños. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gernika27%fair 3.72 · @2.25
Draw52%fair 1.93 · @3.20
Bergantiños21%fair 4.69 · @2.88
2.36Expected goals
1.24Gernika xG
1.12Bergantiños xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gernika 1.2 – 1.1 Bergantiños expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
52%
1.93
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Gernika or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Gernika (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Bergantiños +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Gernika to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Gernika – last 4
DDLD
3 May
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Basconia
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs UD Logroñés
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Sestao River
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Bergantiños – last 6
WLWLDW
3 May
@ Sámano
5–0
W
26 Apr
vs UD Ourense
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Real Valladolid II
4–3
W
29 Mar
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Salamanca UDS
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Lealtad
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gernika and Bergantiños.
What is the prediction for Gernika vs Bergantiños?
Our pick is Gernika or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gernika vs Bergantiños?
On our numbers Gernika have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Bergantiños 21%.
How many goals will there be in Gernika vs Bergantiños?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gernika vs Bergantiños?
Our predicted score is Gernika 1–1 Bergantiños, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gernika vs Bergantiños?
Gernika vs Bergantiños (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
