Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceOurense CF or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.15
Ourense CF vs Basconia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Ourense CF against Basconia at Estadio de O Couto. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ourense CF are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Basconia are 9th (upper half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ourense CF, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lugo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Basconia, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Racing Santander II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Basconia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Ourense CF.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ourense CF 1.4 xG, Basconia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ourense CF 29%, draw 51%, Basconia 20%.
Lower-risk option: Ourense CF or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ourense CF or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ourense CF 1–1 Basconia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ourense CF29%fair 3.44 · @2.05
Draw51%fair 1.96 · @3.40
Basconia20%fair 4.99 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.43Ourense CF xG
1.24Basconia xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.4 – 1.2 Basconia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.96
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Ourense CF or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Ourense CF (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Basconia +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Ourense CF to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✓
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.15
–
Recent results
Ourense CF – last 6
LLDLDL
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontevedra
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Basconia – last 6
DLWDWW
15 Aug
@ Racing Santander II
3–3
D
8 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–2
L
3 May
vs Ejea
5–1
W
26 Apr
vs Gernika
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Mutilvera
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ SD Logroñés
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Basconia.
What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Basconia?
Our pick is Ourense CF or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Basconia?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Basconia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Basconia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Basconia?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–1 Basconia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Basconia?
Ourense CF vs Basconia (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
