Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSestao River to win ✓41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.56
Racing Santander II vs Sestao River: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Racing Santander II against Sestao River. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Racing Santander II are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Sestao River are 1st (leading the league) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Racing Santander II, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Laredo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sestao River, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Derio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Racing Santander II, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Sestao River.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander II 1.3 xG, Sestao River 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander II 38%, draw 21%, Sestao River 41%.
Price worth noting: Sestao River to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander II 1–1 Sestao River. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Santander II38%fair 2.65 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Sestao River41%fair 2.44 · @3.10
2.67Expected goals
1.30Racing Santander II xG
1.37Sestao River xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Racing Santander II 1.3 – 1.4 Sestao River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
41%
2.44
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Sestao River (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Racing Santander II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sestao River to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Racing Santander II – last 6
WDWWWW
27 Aug
@ Laredo
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Basconia
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Real Avilés
2–1
W
3 May
@ Sarriana
4–3
W
26 Apr
vs Real Ávila
4–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlético Astorga
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sestao River – last 6
WDLWDD
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Amorebieta
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Beasain
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander II and Sestao River.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
On our numbers Racing Santander II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sestao River 41%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander II 1–1 Sestao River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander II vs Sestao River?
Racing Santander II vs Sestao River (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
