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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marino de Luanco v Racing Santander II: numbers & prediction

Marino de Luanco 38%Draw 23%Racing Santander II 39% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.36
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.27Odds
2

Value bet: Racing Santander II to win @ 2.91 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRacing Santander II to win ✓39% · @2.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Racing Santander II travel to face Marino de Luanco on Sunday 8 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Marino de Luanco are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Racing Santander II are 12th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marino de Luanco, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gernika, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Racing Santander II, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlético Astorga, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marino de Luanco 1.3 xG, Racing Santander II 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marino de Luanco 38%, draw 23%, Racing Santander II 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.72.
  • Price worth noting: Racing Santander II to win @2.91 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Racing Santander II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marino de Luanco38%fair 2.61 · @2.17
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.18
Racing Santander II39%fair 2.56 · @2.91
2.70Expected goals
1.34Marino de Luanco xG
1.36Racing Santander II xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.3 – 1.4 Racing Santander II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRacing Santander II to win ✓39%2.562.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.72
Draw no betRacing Santander II (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapMarino de Luanco +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%1.981.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.27
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreRacing Santander II to score first ✓47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Racing Santander II / FT Racing Santander II ✗22%4.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Marino de Luanco – last 6

DDLLWL
31 Oct@ Gernika0–0D
25 Octvs Real Oviedo II0–0D
18 Octvs Sestao River0–1L
10 Oct@ Llanera2–4L
3 Oct@ Gimnástica Torrelavega2–1W
27 Sepvs Basconia1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Racing Santander II – last 6

WDWLLL
1 Novvs Atlético Astorga2–0W
24 Oct@ Deportivo Alavés II3–3D
17 Octvs Basconia3–1W
11 Oct@ Real Oviedo II1–2L
3 Octvs Eibar II1–5L
27 Sep@ Llanera1–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Racing Santander II.

Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.

Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?

On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing Santander II 39%.

How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?

Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Racing Santander II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II?

Marino de Luanco vs Racing Santander II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.