Value bet: Gernika to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGernika to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Gimnástica Torrelavega v Gernika in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1. In the table, Gimnástica Torrelavega are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; Gernika are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Gimnástica Torrelavega, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Amorebieta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Gernika, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Marino de Luanco, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.0 xG, Gernika 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnástica Torrelavega 26%, draw 23%, Gernika 51%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Gernika to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Gernika. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnástica Torrelavega26%fair 3.81 · @3.22
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.02
Gernika51%fair 1.98 · @2.10
2.62Expected goals
1.05Gimnástica Torrelavega xG
1.57Gernika xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1.0 – 1.6 Gernika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gernika to win✗
51%
1.98
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.84
Draw no bet
Gernika (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Gimnástica Torrelavega +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Gernika to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gernika / FT Gernika✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.75
–
Recent results
Gimnástica Torrelavega – last 6
LDLLDL
1 Nov
@ Amorebieta
0–1
L
29 Oct
vs UD Ourense
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Ourense CF
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
1–5
L
10 Oct
@ Sestao River
0–0
D
3 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gernika – last 6
DDLDLD
31 Oct
vs Marino de Luanco
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Amorebieta
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Sestao River
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Coruxo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnástica Torrelavega and Gernika.
What is the prediction for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
On our numbers Gimnástica Torrelavega have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gernika 51%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
Our predicted score is Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 Gernika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika?
Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Gernika (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
