Ourense CF vs Portugalete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ourense CF welcome Portugalete to Estadio de O Couto for a Segunda División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 8 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Ourense CF are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Portugalete are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ourense CF, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bergantiños, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Portugalete, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Arosa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ourense CF 1.2 xG, Portugalete 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ourense CF 40%, draw 23%, Portugalete 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ourense CF 1–1 Portugalete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ourense CF40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.98
Portugalete37%fair 2.74 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.23Ourense CF xG
1.15Portugalete xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ourense CF 1.2 – 1.2 Portugalete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ourense CF to win✗
40%
2.50
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Ourense CF (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Portugalete +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ourense CF to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ourense CF / FT Ourense CF✗
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Ourense CF – last 6
DWLLDW
1 Nov
@ Bergantiños
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Coruxo
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Atlético Astorga
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Arosa
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Amorebieta
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portugalete – last 6
DDDWLL
1 Nov
vs Arosa
3–3
D
25 Oct
@ Basconia
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Eibar II
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Amorebieta
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Deportivo Alavés II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Bergantiños
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ourense CF and Portugalete.
What is the prediction for Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
On our numbers Ourense CF have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portugalete 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Our predicted score is Ourense CF 1–1 Portugalete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ourense CF vs Portugalete?
Ourense CF vs Portugalete (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de O Couto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
