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Sestao River v Deportivo Alavés II: numbers & prediction

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Las Llanas
Sestao River 44%Draw 24%Deportivo Alavés II 32% Expected goals 1.39 – 1.14
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSestao River to win ✓44% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39

Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 brings Sestao River against Deportivo Alavés II at Estadio Las Llanas. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, Sestao River are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Deportivo Alavés II are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Sestao River, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Coruxo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Alavés II, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Eibar II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sestao River 1.4 xG, Deportivo Alavés II 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sestao River 44%, draw 24%, Deportivo Alavés II 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestao River 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sestao River44%fair 2.28 · @2.04
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.96
Deportivo Alavés II32%fair 3.12 · @3.44
2.53Expected goals
1.39Sestao River xG
1.14Deportivo Alavés II xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Sestao River 1.4 – 1.1 Deportivo Alavés II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSestao River to win ✓44%2.282.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.93 ▲
Draw no betSestao River (draw no bet) ✓58%1.73–
Asian handicapDeportivo Alavés II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreSestao River to score first ✓51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sestao River / FT Sestao River ✓25%4.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.39–

Recent results

Sestao River – last 6

WDWWWD
1 Nov@ Coruxo2–0W
27 Octvs Espanyol2–2D
24 Octvs Arosa1–0W
18 Oct@ Marino de Luanco1–0W
14 Octvs Salamanca UDS3–1W
10 Octvs Gimnástica Torrelavega0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Alavés II – last 6

WDWDWW
1 Novvs Eibar II2–1W
24 Octvs Racing Santander II3–3D
18 Oct@ Gimnástica Torrelavega5–1W
11 Octvs Gernika1–1D
3 Oct@ Portugalete2–0W
27 Sep@ Arosa5–2W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Deportivo Alavés II.

Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sestao River10811+1025
2Eibar II10622+1020
3Deportivo Alavés II10622+920
4Bergantiños10532+818
5Compostela10523+417
6Portugalete10442+316
7Amorebieta10514+216
8Real Oviedo II10433-315
9Basconia10352014
10Ourense CF10424-314
11Gernika10262+612
12Racing Santander II10325-411
13Llanera10316-810
14Coruxo10235-49
15Arosa10154-68
16Marino de Luanco10226-68
17Atlético Astorga10217-67
18Gimnástica Torrelavega10136-126

More Segunda División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II?

On our numbers Sestao River have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Alavés II 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II?

Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–1 Deportivo Alavés II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II?

Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.