Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lorca Deportiva welcome Atlético Baleares for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 18 October (10:00 WAT). In the table, Lorca Deportiva are 8th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Atlético Baleares are 10th (lower half) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lorca Deportiva, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over La Nucía, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Atlético Baleares, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Mallorca II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lorca Deportiva 1.3 xG, Atlético Baleares 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lorca Deportiva 42%, draw 25%, Atlético Baleares 33%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Atlético Baleares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lorca Deportiva42%fair 2.38 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.80
Atlético Baleares33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.34Lorca Deportiva xG
1.16Atlético Baleares xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.3 – 1.2 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lorca Deportiva to win✗
42%
2.38
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Lorca Deportiva (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Baleares +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Lorca Deportiva to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
WLWDLD
11 Oct
@ La Nucía
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Intercity
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Orihuela
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Elche II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlético Baleares – last 6
DWDLDL
11 Oct
vs Mallorca II
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Poblense
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Cieza
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Ucam Murcia
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Intercity
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Yeclano
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Atlético Baleares.
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Baleares 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
Our predicted score is Lorca Deportiva 1–1 Atlético Baleares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
