Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultYeclano to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.53
Yeclano vs Poblense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 brings Yeclano against Poblense at Campo de la Constitucion. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Yeclano are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Poblense are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yeclano, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Murcia II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Poblense, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Castellón II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Yeclano, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Poblense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yeclano 1.4 xG, Poblense 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yeclano 61%, draw 26%, Poblense 13%.
Lower-risk option: Yeclano or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yeclano to win (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yeclano 1–0 Poblense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yeclano61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.90
Poblense13%fair 7.67 · @4.40
1.83Expected goals
1.38Yeclano xG
0.45Poblense xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yeclano 1.4 – 0.5 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yeclano to win✗
61%
1.64
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Yeclano or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Draw no bet
Yeclano (draw no bet)
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Yeclano -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Yeclano to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yeclano / FT Yeclano✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.53
–
Recent results
Yeclano – last 6
DDWLDW
11 Oct
@ Real Murcia II
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Intercity
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs La Nucía
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
WLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Castellón II
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ La Nucía
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeclano and Poblense.
Our pick is Yeclano to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Yeclano vs Poblense?
On our numbers Yeclano have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Poblense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Yeclano vs Poblense?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeclano vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Yeclano 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Yeclano vs Poblense?
Yeclano vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de la Constitucion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
