Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Peña Deportiva welcome Ucam Murcia for a Segunda División RFEF Group 3 fixture on Sunday 18 October (10:30 WAT). In the table, Peña Deportiva are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Ucam Murcia are 2nd (among the top four) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Peña Deportiva, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Orihuela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ucam Murcia, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Alcoyano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Ucam Murcia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Peña Deportiva.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Peña Deportiva 1.2 xG, Ucam Murcia 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Peña Deportiva 27%, draw 23%, Ucam Murcia 50%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Peña Deportiva 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Peña Deportiva27%fair 3.72 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Ucam Murcia50%fair 2.01 · @2.00
2.92Expected goals
1.20Peña Deportiva xG
1.72Ucam Murcia xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.2 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win
50%
2.01
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.85
Draw no bet
Ucam Murcia (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Peña Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Ucam Murcia to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Peña Deportiva – last 6
WLLLDL
11 Oct
vs Orihuela
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Valencia II
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLWWL
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ucam Murcia 50%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
