Badajoz 45%Draw 21%Real Betis II 34%Expected goals 1.17 – 0.96
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1
Value bet: Badajoz to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBadajoz to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.20
Badajoz vs Real Betis II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Badajoz welcome Real Betis II for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 20 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Badajoz are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Real Betis II are 5th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Badajoz, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Xerez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Real Betis II, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Antoniano, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badajoz 1.2 xG, Real Betis II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badajoz 45%, draw 21%, Real Betis II 34%.
Price worth noting: Badajoz to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badajoz 1–0 Real Betis II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badajoz45%fair 2.23 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Real Betis II34%fair 2.95 · @2.40
2.13Expected goals
1.17Badajoz xG
0.96Real Betis II xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.2 – 1.0 Real Betis II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badajoz to win✗
45%
2.23
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Badajoz (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Real Betis II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Badajoz to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.20
–
Recent results
Badajoz – last 6
WWDWDW
13 Sep
@ Xerez
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
20 Jun
@ Cuarte
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cuarte
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Moralo
0–0
D
31 May
@ Moralo
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Betis II – last 6
DWLWWW
13 Sep
vs Antoniano
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
24 Apr
@ Atlético Madrid II
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Sabadell
3–1
W
20 Mar
vs Hércules
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Real Betis II.
What is the prediction for Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Real Betis II 34%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–0 Real Betis II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Real Betis II?
Badajoz vs Real Betis II (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
