Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultXerez to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceXerez or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.98
Xerez vs Don Benito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Don Benito travel to face Xerez on Sunday 20 September in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Xerez are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Don Benito are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Xerez, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Badajoz, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Don Benito, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Las Palmas II, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Don Benito, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Xerez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xerez 1.6 xG, Don Benito 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xerez 59%, draw 27%, Don Benito 15%.
Lower-risk option: Xerez or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Xerez to win (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xerez 1–0 Don Benito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xerez59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.00
Don Benito15%fair 6.90 · @4.50
2.25Expected goals
1.59Xerez xG
0.66Don Benito xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Xerez 1.6 – 0.7 Don Benito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xerez to win✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Xerez or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.70
Draw no bet
Xerez (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Don Benito +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Xerez to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xerez / FT Xerez✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.98
–
Recent results
Xerez – last 6
LDDDWD
13 Sep
vs Badajoz
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Estepona
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Portuense
0–0
D
17 May
@ Conquense
0–0
D
3 May
vs Ucam Murcia
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Xerez Deportivo
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Don Benito – last 6
WWWWWW
13 Sep
vs Las Palmas II
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Antoniano
2–1
W
3 May
vs Diocesano
8–1
W
12 Apr
vs Santa Amalia
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Azuaga
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Gévora
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xerez and Don Benito.
Our pick is Xerez to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Xerez vs Don Benito?
On our numbers Xerez have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Don Benito 15%.
How many goals will there be in Xerez vs Don Benito?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xerez vs Don Benito?
Our predicted score is Xerez 1–0 Don Benito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Xerez vs Don Benito?
Xerez vs Don Benito (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
