Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sevilla Atletico to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSevilla Atletico to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceSevilla Atletico or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 brings Sevilla Atletico against Sanluqueño at Estadio Jesus Navas. Kick-off: 10:30 WAT. In the table, Sevilla Atletico are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Sanluqueño are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Sevilla Atletico, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Marbella, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sanluqueño, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tamaraceite, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla Atletico 1.6 xG, Sanluqueño 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla Atletico 62%, draw 23%, Sanluqueño 16%.
Lower-risk option: Sevilla Atletico or draw (84%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Sevilla Atletico to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sevilla Atletico or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla Atletico 1–0 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla Atletico62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Sanluqueño16%fair 6.37 · @3.90
2.25Expected goals
1.61Sevilla Atletico xG
0.64Sanluqueño xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sevilla Atletico 1.6 – 0.6 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla Atletico to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sevilla Atletico or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Draw no bet
Sevilla Atletico (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla Atletico -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sevilla Atletico to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla Atletico / FT Sevilla Atletico✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Recent results
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
WWDWLL
13 Sep
vs Marbella
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Tamaraceite
1–0
W
10 May
vs Eldense
2–2
D
19 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Marbella
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 5
WDWLL
13 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Marbella
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Real Murcia
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabadell
0–2
L
13 Feb
vs Atlético Madrid II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla Atletico and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Sevilla Atletico or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Sevilla Atletico have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanluqueño 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Sevilla Atletico 1–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño?
Sevilla Atletico vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
