Estepona 59%Draw 25%Atlético Central 15%Expected goals 1.91 – 0.89
59%
Betarazi pick
Estepona to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstepona to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEstepona or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Estepona vs Atlético Central: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estepona welcome Atlético Central for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 11 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Estepona are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Atlético Central are 9th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estepona, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Don Benito, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Atlético Central, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Linares Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estepona 1.9 xG, Atlético Central 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estepona 59%, draw 25%, Atlético Central 15%.
Lower-risk option: Estepona or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estepona to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estepona 1–0 Atlético Central. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estepona59%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.20
Atlético Central15%fair 6.56 · @4.40
2.80Expected goals
1.91Estepona xG
0.89Atlético Central xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Estepona 1.9 – 0.9 Atlético Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estepona to win✓
59%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
Estepona or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.85
Draw no bet
Estepona (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Estepona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Estepona to score first
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Estepona ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Estepona – last 6
WLWLDD
3 Oct
vs Don Benito
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Puente Genil
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Xerez
0–0
D
3 May
@ Yeclano
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Central – last 6
LWLLWD
4 Oct
vs Linares Deportivo
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Sevilla Atletico
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Marbella
1–4
L
13 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Recreativo Huelva
2–0
W
20 Jun
@ Caudal
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estepona and Atlético Central.
What is the prediction for Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Our pick is Estepona to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Estepona vs Atlético Central?
On our numbers Estepona have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Atlético Central 15%.
How many goals will there be in Estepona vs Atlético Central?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Our predicted score is Estepona 1–0 Atlético Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estepona vs Atlético Central?
Estepona vs Atlético Central (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
