Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultBadajoz to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceBadajoz or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Badajoz vs Sanluqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Badajoz welcome Sanluqueño for a Segunda División RFEF Group 4 fixture on Sunday 18 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Badajoz are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 10 matches; Sanluqueño are 13th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Badajoz, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Marbella, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sanluqueño, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Recreativo Huelva, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Badajoz, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Sanluqueño.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Badajoz 1.9 xG, Sanluqueño 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Badajoz 65%, draw 22%, Sanluqueño 12%.
Lower-risk option: Badajoz or draw (88%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Badajoz to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Badajoz 1–0 Sanluqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Badajoz65%fair 1.53 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.25
Sanluqueño12%fair 8.16 · @4.80
2.67Expected goals
1.95Badajoz xG
0.72Sanluqueño xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Badajoz 1.9 – 0.7 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Badajoz to win✓
65%
1.53
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Badajoz or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Badajoz (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Badajoz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Badajoz to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Badajoz ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Badajoz / FT Badajoz✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Badajoz – last 6
WDDLWW
11 Oct
vs Marbella
1–0
W
4 Oct
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Las Palmas II
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Real Betis II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Xerez
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Tenerife II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 6
DDLDWD
11 Oct
vs Recreativo Huelva
3–3
D
4 Oct
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Don Benito
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Marbella
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Badajoz and Sanluqueño.
Our pick is Badajoz to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Badajoz have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanluqueño 12%.
How many goals will there be in Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Badajoz 1–0 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Badajoz vs Sanluqueño?
Badajoz vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
