Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Picks by market
ResultEstepona to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.36
Marbella vs Estepona: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Marbella v Estepona in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4, played at Banus Football Center. In the table, Marbella are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Estepona are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Marbella, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Badajoz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Estepona, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlético Central, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estepona, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Marbella.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.3 xG, Estepona 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 35%, draw 23%, Estepona 42%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Estepona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella35%fair 2.87 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Estepona42%fair 2.38 · @2.30
2.83Expected goals
1.33Marbella xG
1.50Estepona xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.3 – 1.5 Estepona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estepona to win✗
42%
2.38
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Estepona (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Marbella +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Estepona to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estepona / FT Estepona✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.36
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 6
LLDWLD
11 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Betis II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Atlético Central
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Sanluqueño
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Estepona – last 6
WWLWLD
11 Oct
vs Atlético Central
3–2
W
3 Oct
vs Don Benito
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tenerife II
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Puente Genil
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Linares Deportivo
1–4
L
5 Sep
vs Xerez
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Estepona.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Marbella vs Estepona?
On our numbers Marbella have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estepona 42%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Estepona?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Estepona?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Estepona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Estepona?
Marbella vs Estepona (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Banus Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
