Value bet: Real Madrid III to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCF Talavera to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.30
CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings CF Talavera against Real Madrid III at Estadio El Prado. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, CF Talavera are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; Real Madrid III are 11th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
CF Talavera, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Navalcarnero, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Real Madrid III, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Albacete II, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Real Madrid III, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for CF Talavera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CF Talavera 0.8 xG, Real Madrid III 0.7 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CF Talavera 43%, draw 25%, Real Madrid III 32%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Real Madrid III to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: CF Talavera 0–0 Real Madrid III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CF Talavera43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.80
Real Madrid III32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
1.50Expected goals
0.85CF Talavera xG
0.65Real Madrid III xG
44%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: CF Talavera 0.8 – 0.7 Real Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Talavera to win✗
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Draw no bet
CF Talavera (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid III +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
CF Talavera to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.30
–
Recent results
CF Talavera – last 6
DLLDLD
9 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Illescas
1–1
D
10 May
@ Osasuna II
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Guadalajara
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Madrid III – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Sep
vs Albacete II
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–0
W
3 May
vs Conquense
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ SS Reyes
3–0
W
14 Apr
vs Colonia Moscardó
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Las Palmas II
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Talavera and Real Madrid III.
What is the prediction for CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III?
On our numbers CF Talavera have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Madrid III 32%.
How many goals will there be in CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III?
Our predicted score is CF Talavera 0–0 Real Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III?
CF Talavera vs Real Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Prado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
