Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Navalcarnero v Real Ávila in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Navalcarnero are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Real Ávila are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Navalcarnero, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CF Talavera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Ávila, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to A Madrid III, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navalcarnero 1.2 xG, Real Ávila 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navalcarnero 48%, draw 24%, Real Ávila 28%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navalcarnero 1–0 Real Ávila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navalcarnero48%fair 2.09 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Real Ávila28%fair 3.60 · @3.25
2.00Expected goals
1.19Navalcarnero xG
0.81Real Ávila xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Navalcarnero 1.2 – 0.8 Real Ávila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navalcarnero to win✓
48%
2.09
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Navalcarnero (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Real Ávila +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Navalcarnero to score first✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navalcarnero / FT Navalcarnero✓
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Recent results
Navalcarnero – last 6
DLWDWL
9 Sep
@ CF Talavera
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
0–1
L
3 May
vs Fuenlabrada
3–1
W
26 Apr
@ Colonia Moscardó
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Conquense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Rayo Majadahonda
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Ávila – last 6
LWWLLW
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
12 Aug
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Unionistas de Salamanca
2–0
W
3 May
vs Deportivo La Coruña II
0–4
L
26 Apr
@ Racing Santander II
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navalcarnero and Real Ávila.
What is the prediction for Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila?
On our numbers Navalcarnero have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Ávila 28%.
How many goals will there be in Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila?
Our predicted score is Navalcarnero 1–0 Real Ávila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila?
Navalcarnero vs Real Ávila (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
