Guadalajara v RSD Alcalá Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGuadalajara to win ✓42% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.13

Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 13 September the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings Guadalajara against RSD Alcalá. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Guadalajara are 9th, upper half, on 13 points after 10 matches; RSD Alcalá are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guadalajara, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Salamanca UDS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

RSD Alcalá, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over CF Talavera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours RSD Alcalá, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Guadalajara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara 2.1 xG, RSD Alcalá 1.9 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara 42%, draw 23%, RSD Alcalá 35%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: RSD Alcalá to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara 2–1 RSD Alcalá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guadalajara42%fair 2.41 · @2.00

Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00

RSD Alcalá35%fair 2.85 · @3.50

4.00Expected goals

2.08Guadalajara xG

1.92RSD Alcalá xG

60%Both score

76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%

1–17%

2–27%

1–27%

3–15%

3–25%

From our goals model: Guadalajara 2.1 – 1.9 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Guadalajara to win ✓	42%	2.41	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	60%	1.66	1.85 ▲
Draw no bet	Guadalajara (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.85	–
Asian handicap	RSD Alcalá +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.77	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	63%	1.59	–
First team to score	Guadalajara to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Guadalajara ahead at half-time ✗	35%	2.83	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Guadalajara / FT Guadalajara ✗	26%	3.78	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	13.13	–

Guadalajara – last 6

LLWLDW

6 Sep	vs Salamanca UDS	2–3	L
18 Aug	@ Marchamalo	0–1	L
3 Apr	vs Racing Ferrol	1–0	W
29 Mar	@ Osasuna II	3–4	L
22 Mar	vs CF Talavera	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ Mérida AD	4–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

RSD Alcalá – last 6

WDLDWW

6 Sep	vs CF Talavera	3–0	W
19 Aug	vs Gimnástica Segoviana	1–1	D
3 May	vs CD Coria	1–2	L
26 Apr	@ Quintanar del Rey	0–0	D
19 Apr	vs Rayo Vallecano II	3–0	W
12 Apr	@ Fuenlabrada	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Numancia	10	5	4	1	+11	19
2	Salamanca UDS	10	6	1	3	+5	19
3	SS Reyes	10	6	1	3	+4	19
4	Conquense	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	A Madrid III	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Real Valladolid II	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Navalcarnero	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	CF Talavera	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Guadalajara	10	3	4	3	0	13
10	Albacete II	10	3	3	4	-11	12
11	Real Madrid III	10	2	5	3	-1	11
12	Atlético Tordesillas	10	2	4	4	0	10
13	RSD Alcalá	10	2	4	4	-1	10
14	Gimnástica Segoviana	10	2	4	4	-1	10
15	Atlético Paso	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Getafe II	10	1	5	4	-4	8
17	Real Ávila	10	2	1	7	-10	7
18	Calvo Sotelo	10	1	3	6	-14	6

Team

Pts

+11

-11

-1

-1

-1

-2

-4

-10

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá?

On our numbers Guadalajara have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RSD Alcalá 35%.

How many goals will there be in Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá?

Our predicted score is Guadalajara 2–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá?

Guadalajara vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Guadalajara v RSD Alcalá: numbers & prediction